Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.004431 0.004871 0.005344 0.005894 0.006516 0.007201 0.008014
2025-08-17 0.003728 0.004341 0.005051 0.005940 0.007033 0.008346 0.010060
2025-08-24 0.003280 0.003961 0.004789 0.005879 0.007298 0.009109 0.011639
2025-08-31 0.002908 0.003610 0.004494 0.005705 0.007353 0.009562 0.012829
2025-09-07 0.002677 0.003405 0.004349 0.005689 0.007587 0.010248 0.014397
2025-09-14 0.002556 0.003326 0.004353 0.005862 0.008083 0.011341 0.016698
2025-09-21 0.002363 0.003129 0.004176 0.005754 0.008153 0.011802 0.018074
2025-09-28 0.002196 0.002954 0.004011 0.005644 0.008198 0.012217 0.019420
2025-10-05 0.002080 0.002841 0.003924 0.005637 0.008394 0.012883 0.021281
2025-10-12 0.002008 0.002784 0.003913 0.005741 0.008773 0.013888 0.023904
2025-10-19 0.001898 0.002664 0.003797 0.005668 0.008848 0.014374 0.025621
2025-10-26 0.001812 0.002575 0.003721 0.005652 0.009013 0.015034 0.027782
2025-11-02 0.001717 0.002469 0.003617 0.005589 0.009105 0.015600 0.029921
2025-11-09 0.001651 0.002405 0.003576 0.005630 0.009391 0.016576 0.033166
2025-11-16 0.001572 0.002314 0.003483 0.005573 0.009489 0.017192 0.035716
2025-11-23 0.001478 0.002195 0.003338 0.005410 0.009368 0.017344 0.037191
2025-11-30 0.001420 0.002130 0.003278 0.005395 0.009529 0.018107 0.040349
2025-12-07 0.001398 0.002123 0.003314 0.005557 0.010057 0.019737 0.046178
2025-12-14 0.001333 0.002039 0.003214 0.005456 0.010039 0.020138 0.048730
2025-12-21 0.001271 0.001960 0.003116 0.005353 0.010005 0.020498 0.051258
2025-12-28 0.001230 0.001912 0.003071 0.005346 0.010174 0.021365 0.055550
2026-01-04 0.001206 0.001894 0.003078 0.005444 0.010582 0.022880 0.062346
2026-01-11 0.001160 0.001834 0.003006 0.005376 0.010611 0.023438 0.066136